Absolute cracker of a race! It's like having the Gold Cup in November.
Today's Irish Independent article:
I WAS flicking through some science magazines in the local library last week, when
I came across an interesting article about handedness. Apparently, around 92
percent of men and 90 percent of women are right-handed, but scientists are
still unsure as to the exact reasons why. Most agree that genetics plays a part
but it's also believed that the left and right sides of the brain divide up the
body's tasks in different ways - with most brains preferring to delegate manual
work to the right side of the body. There's nothing too startling about that
but I did find it fascinating to learn that animals too are not immune to
handedness. In animals, a preference for one side of the body over the other is
called laterality and it can be seen in lots of types of creatures including
horses. In the betting world, people often argue whether or not it's possible for
a horse to have a preference for running at a left or right-handed racecourse.
I used to be sceptical about this, but scientists have shown that if a horse's
laterality is on the right-hand side, he will take bigger strides with his
right foreleg. And if he takes bigger strides with his right foreleg, this
effectively pushes him in a slightly left direction when running. If this is
true, then today's Betfair Chase (3.0 Haydock) favourite Bobs Worth may well have a dominant right side, as his record
around left-handed courses is seven wins from seven races. Right-handed, he's
raced five times, winning two. Coincidence? Maybe so - but it does give me that
bit of extra confidence as I back him today at 9/4 around left-handed Haydock. This
year's renewal is arguably the best we've seen since the race was established
in 2005 so it will take a lot more than the correct laterality for Nicky
Henderson's charge to cross the line ahead of his seven rivals. But in my book,
he's the best staying chaser in training and the eight-year-old showed true
character and grit to win the Gold Cup, having looked well beaten three out. He
also goes well fresh, so there's no concerns over the fact that he hasn't been
seen since Cheltenham. Paul Nicholls' Silviniaco Conti was in contention when
falling in the Gold Cup but whether or not he would have had the stamina to see
off Bobs Worth is something we'll never know. He has a chance to prove himself
again today but with the pace likely to be strong, I have my concerns. The
seven-year-old's jumping was a bit sloppy in the Betfred Bowl at Aintree last time
which is a slight worry - although he did win this race last year and if he
gets around unscathed, it will make for one hell of a contest. For those
looking for an each-way bet, I wouldn't put you off Cue Card around 7/1. He was
disappointing in the Haldon Gold Cup Chase at Exeter last time but he was
giving weight all-round and an early mistake scuppered any real chance of
victory. Dynaste and Tidal Bay have claims too but Bobs Worth's consistency
makes him something special and I'm confident he'll kick off this season's
campaign with the best possible start.
AT 33/1 and higher, bookmakers give Monetary
Fund very little hope of winning the Betfair Cash Out 'Fixed Brush'
Handicap Hurdle at Haydock (2.55). With Grands Crus, Dynaste and Diamond Harry
among the recent winners of this race, Monetary Fund does look a little out of
his depth; yet he's consistent enough and rarely makes mistakes. A win looks
unlikely but I'd be surprised if he runs as badly as those odds suggest.
DO THE DOUBLE
SOCCER: THE Premier League makes a welcome return this weekend and it's a big
day Merseyside as Everton welcome Liverpool to Goodison Park. Second-placed
Liverpool have done precious wrong this term and are now odds-on for a top four
finish but the Toffees have been holding their own too, losing just once away
to City. If you ask me, this one has draw
written all over it (12/5).
RACING: OF those horses which have a mark, Flashy
Queen has a couple of pounds in hand in the 32 Free At 32Red.com/E.B.F.
Stallions Maiden Stakes at Lingfield (12.20). She was a little one-paced when
making her handicap debut at Wolverhampton back in September but she got
herself back on track when runner-up in a maiden at Bath last time. 5lb claimer
George Chaloner is a jockey to keep an eye on and early odds of 2/1 about the
filly seem a little high.
afternoon folks. A quick hello as it's ages since I blogged.
The book I've written about trading is finished and I'm simply adding the final
touches and doing some more editing. I've no date for it yet but it'll be quite
soon now thank God. Writing a book is a hell of a lot harder than I thought it
would be to be honest. I'm a librarian by profession so I've come across
literally thousands of books in my time and I always wanted to write one. It
really can be a hard slog though, especially so if you are writing non-fiction
and trying to explain a topic to someone, get the right screen grabs and make
sure the English is good but still readable. Having said all that, I've already
got an idea or two for some other books so you never know. It's quite an
achievement, and even if no-one buys it, I'm proud to have done it. I'll
certainly wait a little while before doing it again though!
Financial trading/Betfair trading
Haven't done much lately to be perfectly honest. I simply haven't had time. I
sold up all positions and went to cash a couple of weeks ago to pay for some
stuff and haven't dipped back in yet. Financial trading is not something I can
pop in and out of successfully when I feel like it - I need to get in the zone
for a couple of weeks and get a feel for it. Going to start dipping the toe in
the water again soon. The same goes for Betfair trading. I've had very few full
days off lately to give it my all. When I try to trade a race here and there it
never works out so I now don't do it unless I can dedicate some decent time to
it. As always, it's a question of making more time for myself! But I intend to
be trading in the next week or two.
Going pretty well. I'm making some decent money from my place lay handicap
system which I posted here some time back and it's now up 53pts for 2013. My
regular place lays are well in profit for the year too although September was a
tricky month where a lot of money was lost. It's great to be able to finally
make some money from the place markets though, as I'd struggled in those for
I went to the doc last month and found out that I had high cholesterol (6.3).
Initially, this was quite a shock as I am quite light and exercise quite a bit.
But looking back, my diet was full of saturated fat. I love my cheese and dairy
and all that and would always use stuff like real butter etc. I'm on a
cholesterol diet to get it down and it's a bit tough but that's the way it
goes. Nothing too serious he said as I don't smoke and am fairly fit so he said
it should come down handy enough soon with some diet changes. Now I know how the women feel going on diets
and it ain't fun. As regards running,
I'm doing 5K twice a week which isn't too bad. I've signed up for Hell
and Back tomorrow which should be interesting! Looks mental to be honest,
I'll report back if I make it out alive.
WAYNE Bailey was born in Dublin where he still lives with daughter. A librarian by profession, Wayne has always had a passion for betting and trading and has spent various periods throughout his life as a professional gambler. In 2007, he graduated from University College Dublin with a degree in social science and information studies and four years later, he completed a diploma in financial trading from the Irish Institute of Financial Trading. More recently, he studied psychology and the behaviour of the human mind. Wayne is a regular contributor to various newspapers and websites in the UK and Ireland, and he currently pens the Betting Ring column which enjoys a large dedicated following every Saturday in Ireland’s largest selling newspaper The Irish Independent. Wayne's book 'Sports Trading on Betfair' was published in 2014. Email: firstname.lastname@example.org